Posted on: October 13, 2022, 06:50h.
Last updated on: October 13, 2022, 06:50h.
The Chicago Bears host the Washington Commanders in Chicago tonight for Thursday Night Football and the start of the NFL’s Week 6. The Commanders are anxious for another win, but oddsmakers can’t make up their mind on how this game will go.
The Bears are 2-3 and face a team that now sits at 1-4. Commanders head coach Ron Rivera, after all he has been through and done for Washington over the past four years, might be questioning if it was all worth it.
This game could give the Super Bowl-winning coach a bit of nostalgia. Not only is he a one-time defensive coach for the Bears, but he also played for the team as a linebacker for nine years.
Commanders Not In Command
The Commanders come into the game with very mixed results behind them and currently sit in fourth place in the NFC East. They’re coming off a loss to the Tennessee Titans and need to focus tonight.
Washington is having trouble on offense. Although they’re sixth in terms of passing completion (1,390) and fifth in rushing yards (445), they’re not finding a path into the end zone.
In addition, the club’s turnover margin is 1.6 and their average possession time on the field is 31:40. That’s good for fourth place and is slightly better than the Kansas City Chiefs. Based on all of these stats, the Commanders should be better than 1-4.
Despite everything, they’re only averaging 6.6 yards per play, putting them toward the bottom of the rankings. Rivera has to be frustrated with the results and might try to change up the playbook tonight. Whatever he decides, rookie running back Brian Robinson Jr. will likely have a huge role.
The Bears enter the game third in the NFC North. They’re coming off a loss against the Minnesota Vikings last week and will look to QB Justin Fields to be more productive today.
The Bears average 135.8 passing yards and 4.85 yards per attempt. Their average time of possession this season is 26:31, much of which has been used by QB Justin Fields dancing around the pocket.
Fields hasn’t been as effective as the Bears hoped. His passing performance is 31st in terms of adjusted net yards and he hasn’t done well under pressure. The Commanders have noted this and will try to use it to their advantage.
Their last matchup was on September 23, 2019, at FedExField when Washington was still known as the Redskins. The Bears won that game 31-15; however, Washington had taken the previous four.
An Offensive Battle Gives Bettors Opportunities
This will likely be a game that pits two ground attacks against each other. Neither QB will go out of his way to produce an aerial assault due to a lack of resources. In addition, after Robinson’s performance last week, the Commanders want him to show off again.
DraftKings and Caesars have this game as a push on the moneyline, although FanDuel has gone a different route. It gives the Commanders the benefit of the doubt at -118 to the Bears’ +100.
During the regular season, the Bears have accumulated an average of 17.2 points per game, while the Commanders average 18.0. With an over/under of around 38 and two teams that have trouble moving the chains, this game should stay under.
There’s something to consider with the spread. It’s at just one point, and Chicago has not covered in the last nine games against Washington. On the other hand, Washington has gone 5-1 against the spread against Chicago. This will be an exciting game to watch, and sports bettors have some tough decisions to make.
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